Storm Force Winds ============================================= Super Typhoon Goni exploded into Earth’s most powerful storm of 2020 as a category 5 storm with 180 mph winds in the waters to the east of the Philippines, at 11 a.m. EDT Friday, October 30. 72 HRS: 18.7N 129.1E – 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sea East of the Philippines, Sorry … didn’t realize it had worked the first time …, PAGASA with 890 central pressure just before the Catanduanes island landfall. 72 HRS: 19.2N 129.2E – 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East of the Philippines, models are hinting, the season is NOT over yet..huh…………, Dvorak at 8.0 according to Japan Meteorological Agency. This makes an otherwise ideal region unfavorable for tropical cyclones. Of all of the Category 5 Pacific hurricanes, the only ones to make landfall at any intensity were Hurricane Kenna, Hurricane Rick, Hurricane Patricia, and Hurricane Willa. The effects of El Niño are most significant in the central Pacific (140°W to the dateline).[13]. Marianas islands (Southwest of Guam). 48 HRS: 19.8N 129.1E – 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East of the Philippines We will see. Forecast and Intensity Tropical Cyclone Advisory #35 – 3:00 AM JST November 1 2020 In a 2019 Review Paper by 11 hurricane scientists, “Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment: Part I. TROPICAL STORM ATSANI (T2020) TYPHOON GONI (T2019) However, the typhoon will experience a less favorable upper-level outflow pattern, which should cause some weakening. [8], The reason for estimating the pressure (in lieu of direct measurements) is the fact that most of these storms did not threaten land. All those 11 authors agreed that the balance of evidence suggests that the proportion of all hurricanes reaching category 4-5 strength has increased in recent years; and eight of them concluded that the balance of evidence suggests that human-caused climate change contributed to that increase. Earth averaged 5.3 Category 5 storms per year between 1990 and 2019, according to ratings made by NOAA’s National Hurricane Center and the U.S. Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center, so two more Cat 5s would make it a near-average year in that respect. ============================================= It is possible that some earlier storms reached Category 5 over open waters, but they were never recognized because they never affected land and remained at sea.[4]. [4] Ioke did not lose Category 5 status on August 26, however, it moved into the Western North Pacific, and thus was no longer considered a hurricane, but rather a typhoon. A Category 5 Atlantic hurricane is a tropical cyclone that reaches Category 5 intensity on the … No final re-analysis for these storms has yet been released. Preston, your comment is an inappropriate, broad brush over-generalization. 72 HRS: 19.0N 129.6E – 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sea East of the Philippines, © 2020 Yale Climate Connections | Created by Constructive, The destructive 2020 Atlantic hurricane season may finally have had its last deadly storm, Low-cost sensors help Savannah, Georgia, track flooding in real time, Deaths, destruction reported in aftermath of Hurricane Iota, 'Extraordinary': Iota becomes second category 4 hurricane to strike Central America in past two weeks, 2019 JTWC best track for the Western Pacific, one method of classifying tropical cyclones, largest 24-hour intensification on record in the Southern Hemisphere, Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment: Part I. 35 nm from the center, Gale Force Winds The prevailing ocean currents of the area carry warm water to the west. as a hurricane…so far anyway…lets hope this changes FAST huh. At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Goni (915 hPa) located at 15.3N 128.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 115 knots with gusts of 165 knots. 120 nm from the center in southeastern quadrant, Forecast and Intensity Detection and Attribution“, 10 of 11 authors concluded that the balance of evidence suggests a detectable increase in the average intensity of global hurricanes since the early 1980s; eight of those 11 concluded that the balance of evidence suggests that human-caused climate change contributed to that increased intensity. The official Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecast at 11 a.m. EDT Friday called for Goni to be a weaker but still devastating 145-mph category 4 typhoon at landfall in Luzon early on Sunday, November 1 (U.S. EDT). ========================= Highest one-minute sustained winds: 207 mph (335 kph) … 48 HRS: 14.9N 118.5E – 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) South China Sea Tropical Cyclone Advisory #17 – 9:00 AM JST October 31 2020 The reason for the lack of landfalls is that tropical cyclones in the northern hemisphere usually travel to the west. Rammasun was the third-costliest typhoon in Philippines history, with $885 million in damage. In general, Category 5s form in clusters in single years. ================== TROPICAL STORM ATSANI (T2020) 12 HRS: 16.7N 133.6E – 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East of the Philippines Super Typhoon Halong’s winds were upped from 180 mph to 190 mph. These tropical cyclone warning signals are usually raised when an area (in the Philippines only) is about to be hit by a tropical cyclone. 210 nm from the center in northern quadrant 12 HRS: 14.0N 125.2E – 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Sea East of the Philippines From tropical storm to Category 5 in 18 hours: Super Typhoon Hagibis intensifies at one of the fastest rates on record On Sunday morning, Hagibis was a … ================== There are no known Category 5 storms occurring before 1959. Sinclair video (link near end) was particularly useful – short and to the point for laypeople. The typhoon killed 106 people in the Philippines and knocked out power to 90% of Manila. 48 HRS: 15.2N 119.6E – 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) South China Sea
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